Live structure read · updated daily

Is Pepe (PEPE) worth buying right now?

One of the leaders.
Structure score 18/20 Strong tier

Pepe scores 18/20 today — Strong tier — and Bitcoin is risk-on. Before 2023 that was the only regime where top scores paid off; since 2023 the edge has measured as noise, so read this as a chart to watch, not a buy signal.

Last close $0.00000499
7-day +1.0%
30-day +21.7%
RSI(14) 59
Mcap rank #49
Bitcoin regime: RISK-ON — golden cross on 2026-09-08, 60 days ago. Before 2023, top-tier charts beat bottom-tier by ~24 points over 30 days in this regime; since 2023 that gap has measured as noise (+3.6 points, range −4.4 to +11.2). Live regime status →

Get this read every morning

You're seeing today's Pepe score. We run the same honest structure read across all 49 majors — updated every morning, free, no hype and no price targets.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

The last 90 days

trigger $0.00000511$0.00000568$0.00000253
close20-day avg50-day avgbreakout trigger

Today's read, in plain English

What's working: price sits above its rising 20- and 50-day averages; the 50-day average itself is sloping upward; the weekly trend gate is open (weekly close above its 10-week average). What's missing: the latest pullback undercut the prior low. Momentum context: RSI(14) is at 59 with positive MACD. The breakout trigger sits at $0.00000511, about 2.4% above the last close.

The 10-component rubric

What's working (9)

  • ✓price sits above its rising 20- and 50-day averages+3
  • ✓the 50-day average itself is sloping upward+3
  • ✓the weekly trend gate is open (weekly close above its 10-week average)+3
  • ✓RSI sits in the healthy 50–72 trend band+2
  • ✓it is outperforming Bitcoin over the last 90 days+2
  • ✓up-days carry more volume than down-days+2
  • ✓the latest swing high broke above the prior one+1
  • ✓MACD momentum is on the positive side+1
  • ✓price is within 3% of its breakout trigger+1

What's missing (1)

  • ✗the latest pullback undercut the prior low+2 missed

Each component is weighted by how much it historically improved forward returns; the weights sum to 20. The full methodology — including what we tested and rejected — is public on the daily read.

What would change our answer

  • → pullbacks are bottoming higher than the last one

Key levels & context

Last close$0.00000499
Breakout trigger$0.00000511 (2.4% away)
50-day average$0.00000435 (price +14.7% vs it)
Volatility (ATR14)9.2% / day
RSI(14) / MACD59 / positive
LiquidityOK (mcap rank #49)

Can you time Pepe with moving averages?

One rule, fully visible: hold PEPE while its 2-day average is above its 12-day average, stand in cash when it isn't. Of the 295 fast/slow pairs we sweep daily across 3.5 years of history, 2/12 is this coin's best — in hindsight. Every triangle below is a real cross: exactly when the rule bought and when it stepped aside.

2024-11-24 · go to cash · $0.00002022024-11-29 · go long · $0.000020462024-12-15 · go to cash · $0.000024152024-12-29 · go long · $0.000017892025-01-08 · go to cash · $0.000017822025-01-16 · go long · $0.000018122025-01-19 · go to cash · $0.000016042025-02-13 · go long · $0.000009682025-02-18 · go to cash · $0.000009262025-03-14 · go long · $0.000007062025-03-29 · go to cash · $0.000007222025-04-12 · go long · $0.000007442025-05-02 · go to cash · $0.00000872025-05-08 · go long · $0.000011122025-05-20 · go to cash · $0.000013162025-05-22 · go long · $0.00001552025-05-29 · go to cash · $0.000013432025-06-09 · go long · $0.000012652025-06-13 · go to cash · $0.000011222025-06-29 · go long · $0.00001042025-07-01 · go to cash · $0.000009262025-07-02 · go long · $0.000010062025-07-05 · go to cash · $0.000009692025-07-06 · go long · $0.000010022025-07-24 · go to cash · $0.000012392025-08-08 · go long · $0.000011812025-08-15 · go to cash · $0.000010812025-08-23 · go long · $0.000011252025-08-25 · go to cash · $0.000009762025-09-08 · go long · $0.00001032025-09-20 · go to cash · $0.000010722025-10-02 · go long · $0.000010212025-10-08 · go to cash · $0.000009562025-10-24 · go long · $0.000007182025-10-29 · go to cash · $0.000007032025-11-10 · go long · $0.000006212025-11-11 · go to cash · $0.000005832025-11-26 · go long · $0.00000472025-12-01 · go to cash · $0.000004052025-12-03 · go long · $0.000004812025-12-06 · go to cash · $0.000004522025-12-08 · go long · $0.000004752025-12-12 · go to cash · $0.000004332025-12-27 · go long · $0.000004192026-01-11 · go to cash · $0.00000582026-01-14 · go long · $0.000006242026-01-15 · go to cash · $0.000005912026-02-14 · go long · $0.000004832026-02-22 · go to cash · $0.000004062026-03-14 · go long · $0.000003362026-03-20 · go to cash · $0.000003412026-03-24 · go long · $0.000003532026-03-26 · go to cash · $0.000003412026-04-01 · go long · $0.00000342026-04-02 · go to cash · $0.000003342026-04-04 · go long · $0.00000342026-05-13 · go to cash · $0.000004052026-06-14 · go long · $0.000002922026-06-19 · go to cash · $0.000002822026-07-03 · go long · $0.000002782026-07-24 · go to cash · $0.000002722026-07-26 · go long · $0.000002982026-07-28 · go to cash · $0.00000282026-08-02 · go long · $0.000002912026-08-07 · go to cash · $0.000002812026-08-08 · go long · $0.000002852026-08-12 · go to cash · $0.000002682026-08-20 · go long · $0.000003212026-08-30 · go to cash · $0.00000342026-09-06 · go long · $0.000003652026-09-10 · go to cash · $0.000003242026-09-17 · go long · $0.000003612026-09-28 · go to cash · $0.000004212026-10-04 · go long · $0.000004412026-10-06 · go to cash · $0.000004282026-10-19 · go long · $0.00000416Nov 2024Jul 2025Mar 2026Nov 2026$0.00002649$0.00000233
closeSMA 2 (fast)SMA 12 (slow)rule says hold▲ go long▼ go to cash
Last two years shown (76 of 127 crosses in the full 3.5-year history). Hover any triangle for the exact date and price.
×34.7
the rule · 178%/yr
×1.3
buy & hold · 9%/yr
-63%
worst drawdown vs -91% buy & hold
64 · 36%
trades · win rate
×28.7
after 0.15%/side costs
LONG
since 2026-10-19
SMA 2/5: +41%/yrSMA 2/8: +122%/yrSMA 2/10: +115%/yrSMA 2/12: +178%/yrSMA 2/15: +130%/yrSMA 2/18: +100%/yrSMA 2/20: +81%/yrSMA 2/21: +48%/yrSMA 2/25: +43%/yrSMA 2/30: +76%/yrSMA 2/34: +92%/yrSMA 2/38: +94%/yrSMA 2/40: +98%/yrSMA 2/44: +98%/yrSMA 2/50: +93%/yrSMA 2/55: +91%/yrSMA 2/60: +59%/yrSMA 2/75: +64%/yrSMA 2/100: +59%/yrSMA 2/120: +30%/yrSMA 2/150: +47%/yrSMA 2/200: +10%/yrSMA 3/5: +39%/yrSMA 3/8: +121%/yrSMA 3/10: +154%/yrSMA 3/12: +159%/yrSMA 3/15: +112%/yrSMA 3/18: +92%/yrSMA 3/20: +105%/yrSMA 3/21: +73%/yrSMA 3/25: +47%/yrSMA 3/30: +51%/yrSMA 3/34: +77%/yrSMA 3/38: +104%/yrSMA 3/40: +101%/yrSMA 3/44: +126%/yrSMA 3/50: +64%/yrSMA 3/55: +76%/yrSMA 3/60: +66%/yrSMA 3/75: +73%/yrSMA 3/100: +37%/yrSMA 3/120: +16%/yrSMA 3/150: +33%/yrSMA 3/200: +23%/yrSMA 4/5: +8%/yrSMA 4/8: +112%/yrSMA 4/10: +155%/yrSMA 4/12: +164%/yrSMA 4/15: +84%/yrSMA 4/18: +83%/yrSMA 4/20: +100%/yrSMA 4/21: +121%/yrSMA 4/25: +32%/yrSMA 4/30: +64%/yrSMA 4/34: +93%/yrSMA 4/38: +76%/yrSMA 4/40: +51%/yrSMA 4/44: +90%/yrSMA 4/50: +63%/yrSMA 4/55: +74%/yrSMA 4/60: +65%/yrSMA 4/75: +60%/yrSMA 4/100: +29%/yrSMA 4/120: +30%/yrSMA 4/150: +27%/yrSMA 4/200: +36%/yrSMA 5/8: +119%/yrSMA 5/10: +136%/yrSMA 5/12: +139%/yrSMA 5/15: +68%/yrSMA 5/18: +77%/yrSMA 5/20: +95%/yrSMA 5/21: +84%/yrSMA 5/25: +46%/yrSMA 5/30: +40%/yrSMA 5/34: +68%/yrSMA 5/38: +64%/yrSMA 5/40: +52%/yrSMA 5/44: +58%/yrSMA 5/50: +64%/yrSMA 5/55: +78%/yrSMA 5/60: +52%/yrSMA 5/75: +48%/yrSMA 5/100: +25%/yrSMA 5/120: +37%/yrSMA 5/150: +38%/yrSMA 5/200: +37%/yrSMA 8/10: +47%/yrSMA 8/12: +106%/yrSMA 8/15: +64%/yrSMA 8/18: +33%/yrSMA 8/20: +21%/yrSMA 8/21: +20%/yrSMA 8/25: +49%/yrSMA 8/30: +37%/yrSMA 8/34: +40%/yrSMA 8/38: +47%/yrSMA 8/40: +58%/yrSMA 8/44: +94%/yrSMA 8/50: +79%/yrSMA 8/55: +71%/yrSMA 8/60: +46%/yrSMA 8/75: +39%/yrSMA 8/100: +64%/yrSMA 8/120: +36%/yrSMA 8/150: +39%/yrSMA 8/200: +41%/yrSMA 10/12: +80%/yrSMA 10/15: +66%/yrSMA 10/18: +20%/yrSMA 10/20: +21%/yrSMA 10/21: +57%/yrSMA 10/25: +54%/yrSMA 10/30: +34%/yrSMA 10/34: +31%/yrSMA 10/38: +53%/yrSMA 10/40: +71%/yrSMA 10/44: +83%/yrSMA 10/50: +75%/yrSMA 10/55: +53%/yrSMA 10/60: +30%/yrSMA 10/75: +41%/yrSMA 10/100: +59%/yrSMA 10/120: +36%/yrSMA 10/150: +50%/yrSMA 10/200: +52%/yrSMA 12/15: +3%/yrSMA 12/18: +21%/yrSMA 12/20: +40%/yrSMA 12/21: +34%/yrSMA 12/25: +47%/yrSMA 12/30: +12%/yrSMA 12/34: +34%/yrSMA 12/38: +63%/yrSMA 12/40: +58%/yrSMA 12/44: +71%/yrSMA 12/50: +61%/yrSMA 12/55: +54%/yrSMA 12/60: +28%/yrSMA 12/75: +70%/yrSMA 12/100: +60%/yrSMA 12/120: +41%/yrSMA 12/150: +65%/yrSMA 12/200: +37%/yrSMA 15/18: +25%/yrSMA 15/20: +34%/yrSMA 15/21: +24%/yrSMA 15/25: +37%/yrSMA 15/30: +33%/yrSMA 15/34: +25%/yrSMA 15/38: +37%/yrSMA 15/40: +35%/yrSMA 15/44: +38%/yrSMA 15/50: +27%/yrSMA 15/55: +35%/yrSMA 15/60: +40%/yrSMA 15/75: +94%/yrSMA 15/100: +60%/yrSMA 15/120: +24%/yrSMA 15/150: +77%/yrSMA 15/200: +8%/yrSMA 18/20: +18%/yrSMA 18/21: +12%/yrSMA 18/25: +10%/yrSMA 18/30: +6%/yrSMA 18/34: +11%/yrSMA 18/38: +42%/yrSMA 18/40: +30%/yrSMA 18/44: +38%/yrSMA 18/50: +41%/yrSMA 18/55: +59%/yrSMA 18/60: +54%/yrSMA 18/75: +70%/yrSMA 18/100: +28%/yrSMA 18/120: +44%/yrSMA 18/150: +51%/yrSMA 18/200: +30%/yrSMA 20/21: -4%/yrSMA 20/25: -5%/yrSMA 20/30: -1%/yrSMA 20/34: +6%/yrSMA 20/38: +13%/yrSMA 20/40: +13%/yrSMA 20/44: +30%/yrSMA 20/50: +42%/yrSMA 20/55: +56%/yrSMA 20/60: +50%/yrSMA 20/75: +51%/yrSMA 20/100: +34%/yrSMA 20/120: +37%/yrSMA 20/150: +36%/yrSMA 20/200: +22%/yrSMA 21/25: +2%/yrSMA 21/30: +8%/yrSMA 21/34: +2%/yrSMA 21/38: +12%/yrSMA 21/40: +12%/yrSMA 21/44: +37%/yrSMA 21/50: +52%/yrSMA 21/55: +66%/yrSMA 21/60: +48%/yrSMA 21/75: +54%/yrSMA 21/100: +38%/yrSMA 21/120: +38%/yrSMA 21/150: +45%/yrSMA 21/200: +20%/yrSMA 25/30: +14%/yrSMA 25/34: +53%/yrSMA 25/38: +81%/yrSMA 25/40: +63%/yrSMA 25/44: +79%/yrSMA 25/50: +47%/yrSMA 25/55: +43%/yrSMA 25/60: +50%/yrSMA 25/75: +42%/yrSMA 25/100: +23%/yrSMA 25/120: +13%/yrSMA 25/150: +48%/yrSMA 25/200: +43%/yrSMA 30/34: +129%/yrSMA 30/38: +108%/yrSMA 30/40: +81%/yrSMA 30/44: +48%/yrSMA 30/50: +9%/yrSMA 30/55: +32%/yrSMA 30/60: +26%/yrSMA 30/75: +40%/yrSMA 30/100: +32%/yrSMA 30/120: +15%/yrSMA 30/150: +32%/yrSMA 30/200: +48%/yrSMA 34/38: +81%/yrSMA 34/40: +47%/yrSMA 34/44: +41%/yrSMA 34/50: +34%/yrSMA 34/55: +25%/yrSMA 34/60: +16%/yrSMA 34/75: +61%/yrSMA 34/100: +11%/yrSMA 34/120: +19%/yrSMA 34/150: +36%/yrSMA 34/200: +42%/yrSMA 38/40: +46%/yrSMA 38/44: +14%/yrSMA 38/50: +28%/yrSMA 38/55: +34%/yrSMA 38/60: +37%/yrSMA 38/75: +14%/yrSMA 38/100: +15%/yrSMA 38/120: +2%/yrSMA 38/150: +46%/yrSMA 38/200: +30%/yrSMA 40/44: +7%/yrSMA 40/50: +12%/yrSMA 40/55: +44%/yrSMA 40/60: +35%/yrSMA 40/75: +12%/yrSMA 40/100: +24%/yrSMA 40/120: +8%/yrSMA 40/150: +45%/yrSMA 40/200: +37%/yrSMA 44/50: -1%/yrSMA 44/55: +13%/yrSMA 44/60: +15%/yrSMA 44/75: +26%/yrSMA 44/100: +6%/yrSMA 44/120: +9%/yrSMA 44/150: +55%/yrSMA 44/200: +32%/yrSMA 50/55: +22%/yrSMA 50/60: -2%/yrSMA 50/75: +29%/yrSMA 50/100: +1%/yrSMA 50/120: +9%/yrSMA 50/150: +71%/yrSMA 50/200: +32%/yrSMA 55/60: +1%/yrSMA 55/75: +15%/yrSMA 55/100: -1%/yrSMA 55/120: +11%/yrSMA 55/150: +73%/yrSMA 55/200: +26%/yrSMA 60/75: -6%/yrSMA 60/100: -25%/yrSMA 60/120: +10%/yrSMA 60/150: +73%/yrSMA 60/200: +19%/yrSMA 75/100: -7%/yrSMA 75/120: +4%/yrSMA 75/150: +25%/yrSMA 75/200: +7%/yrSMA 100/120: +2%/yrSMA 100/150: +33%/yrSMA 100/200: +4%/yrSMA 150/200: +30%/yr5152540601502002818304475150slow average (days) →
Rows = fast average, columns = slow. Greenest cell +178%/yr, reddest -25%/yr — scale is relative to this coin only. The white square is the pair charted on the left. Hover any cell for its numbers.

The map behind the pair

Each square is one fast/slow combination, coloured by what it returned per year holding PEPE only while its fast average was above its slow one. The chart on the left is the white square, traded for real — every whipsaw included. A fast average this short is classic noise-chasing — expect far less out of sample.

Honest math: 64 round trips at 0.15% costs per side turns ×34.7 into ×28.7 — still ahead of buy & hold's ×1.3. Right now the rule is long (since 2026-10-19). This is an educational backtest, not a strategy we sell. Our product's regime gate uses the same idea with one deliberately slow pair (50/200); on its own it made about 0%/yr since 2023, against about +32%/yr for simply holding.

Every trade the rule made — 64 round trips, newest first

23 winners, 41 losers. Cross-close to cross-close, before fees. The open row is the current position marked to the last close.

EnteredExitedIn atOut atReturnDays
2026-10-19still open$0.00000416$0.00000499+20.0%18
2026-10-042026-10-06$0.00000441$0.00000428-2.9%2
2026-09-172026-09-28$0.00000361$0.00000421+16.6%11
2026-09-062026-09-10$0.00000365$0.00000324-11.2%4
2026-08-202026-08-30$0.00000321$0.0000034+5.9%10
2026-08-082026-08-12$0.00000285$0.00000268-6.0%4
2026-08-022026-08-07$0.00000291$0.00000281-3.4%5
2026-07-262026-07-28$0.00000298$0.0000028-6.0%2
2026-07-032026-07-24$0.00000278$0.00000272-2.2%21
2026-06-142026-06-19$0.00000292$0.00000282-3.4%5
2026-04-042026-05-13$0.0000034$0.00000405+19.1%39
2026-04-012026-04-02$0.0000034$0.00000334-1.8%1
2026-03-242026-03-26$0.00000353$0.00000341-3.4%2
2026-03-142026-03-20$0.00000336$0.00000341+1.5%6
2026-02-142026-02-22$0.00000483$0.00000406-15.9%8
2026-01-142026-01-15$0.00000624$0.00000591-5.3%1
2025-12-272026-01-11$0.00000419$0.0000058+38.4%15
2025-12-082025-12-12$0.00000475$0.00000433-8.8%4
2025-12-032025-12-06$0.00000481$0.00000452-6.0%3
2025-11-262025-12-01$0.0000047$0.00000405-13.8%5
2025-11-102025-11-11$0.00000621$0.00000583-6.1%1
2025-10-242025-10-29$0.00000718$0.00000703-2.1%5
2025-10-022025-10-08$0.00001021$0.00000956-6.4%6
2025-09-082025-09-20$0.0000103$0.00001072+4.1%12
2025-08-232025-08-25$0.00001125$0.00000976-13.2%2
2025-08-082025-08-15$0.00001181$0.00001081-8.5%7
2025-07-062025-07-24$0.00001002$0.00001239+23.7%18
2025-07-022025-07-05$0.00001006$0.00000969-3.7%3
2025-06-292025-07-01$0.0000104$0.00000926-11.0%2
2025-06-092025-06-13$0.00001265$0.00001122-11.3%4
2025-05-222025-05-29$0.0000155$0.00001343-13.4%7
2025-05-082025-05-20$0.00001112$0.00001316+18.3%12
2025-04-122025-05-02$0.00000744$0.0000087+16.9%20
2025-03-142025-03-29$0.00000706$0.00000722+2.3%15
2025-02-132025-02-18$0.00000968$0.00000926-4.3%5
2025-01-162025-01-19$0.00001812$0.00001604-11.5%3
2024-12-292025-01-08$0.00001789$0.00001782-0.4%10
2024-11-292024-12-15$0.00002046$0.00002415+18.0%16
2024-11-062024-11-24$0.00000989$0.0000202+104.2%18
2024-10-122024-10-22$0.00000989$0.00001008+1.9%10
2024-10-072024-10-08$0.0000098$0.00000951-3.0%1
2024-09-182024-10-02$0.00000753$0.00000924+22.7%14
2024-09-102024-09-16$0.00000746$0.0000072-3.5%6
2024-08-212024-08-27$0.00000791$0.00000764-3.4%6
2024-08-132024-08-15$0.00000818$0.00000744-9.0%2
2024-07-152024-07-26$0.00001132$0.00001202+6.2%11
2024-06-252024-06-29$0.00001285$0.00001131-12.0%4
2024-05-022024-06-02$0.00000754$0.00001463+94.0%31
2024-04-212024-05-01$0.00000595$0.00000698+17.3%10
2024-04-082024-04-09$0.00000776$0.00000704-9.3%1
2024-03-252024-04-02$0.00000809$0.00000725-10.4%8
2024-02-082024-03-16$0.00000095$0.00000743+682.1%37
2024-01-162024-01-17$0.00000124$0.00000121-2.4%1
2024-01-102024-01-14$0.00000133$0.00000119-10.5%4
2023-12-222023-12-29$0.00000158$0.00000134-15.2%7
2023-12-012023-12-12$0.00000111$0.00000139+25.2%11
2023-11-252023-11-27$0.00000118$0.00000109-7.6%2
2023-11-062023-11-14$0.0000012$0.00000115-4.2%8
2023-10-212023-11-03$0.0000007$0.00000108+54.3%13
2023-09-222023-10-04$0.00000071$0.00000072+1.4%12
2023-08-102023-08-16$0.00000124$0.00000116-6.5%6
2023-07-132023-07-18$0.00000172$0.00000152-11.6%5
2023-06-202023-07-07$0.00000107$0.00000157+46.7%17
2023-06-182023-06-19$0.00000094$0.00000094+0.0%1

How other coins score today

JST 19/20ZEC 19/20XMR 17/20NIGHT 11/20 all 49 →

Get the email the day the regime flips

The answer on this page changes when Bitcoin's 50/200 regime turns. That switch has moved roughly twice a year for nine years. Subscribers hear the same day, with that day's scoreboard. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.